GAIS 2-1 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.68
Over
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.74
2-3
38%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.27
6+
11%
21.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.12
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
13%
5.57
X/2
15%
5.1
X/X
12%
4.16
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
22%
3.64
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +22%
1.66/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.10
-14% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
356 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
26.0 Crosses 18.2
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Göteborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
26.02.2023 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇK
24.09.2012 Göteborg Göteborg 0-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
21.05.2012 GAIS GAIS 1-1 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
17.10.2011 GAIS GAIS 1-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
09.05.2011 Göteborg Göteborg 2-1 HT 1-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
13.09.2010 Göteborg Göteborg 2-1 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
2-1
AWAY Göteborg
2.82 xG 0.89
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
196 Passes 524
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS edged past Göteborg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Göteborg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GAIS had 32% of the ball to Göteborg's 68%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.82 to 0.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold GAIS's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GAIS and 1.00 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Göteborg?

GAIS 2-1 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split GAIS 31%, draw 26%, Göteborg 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Göteborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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