Breidablik 2-3 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 May 2024

Breidablik
2-3 HT 1-2
Valur
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Breidablik vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.1pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Breidablik v Valur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.37/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.61
-14% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
17.8 Crosses 14.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Breidablik vs Valur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Valur
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
275 Passes 301
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.09.2023 Valur Valur 4-2 HT 2-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
25.05.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 1-0 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
16.04.2023 Valur Valur 0-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
22.10.2022 Valur Valur 2-5 HT 2-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
05.09.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 1-0 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
16.06.2022 Valur Valur 3-2 HT 2-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL

Breidablik 2-3 Valur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
2-3
AWAY Valur
1.56 xG 1.29
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
383 Passes 246
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 32
34 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur edged past Breidablik 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Breidablik at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Breidablik had 59% of the ball to Valur's 41%, shots finished 21-21, expected goals 1.56 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Breidablik and 1.50 for Valur.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Valur?

Breidablik 2-3 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 46%, draw 25%, Valur 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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