USM Alger 2-2 JS Kabylie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.0pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY JS Kabylie EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
1.49/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.03
+10% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
2W-2D-2L
AWAY JS Kabylie
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
05.05.2023 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
06.09.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 1-0 HT 0-0 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie CZYR
01.04.2022 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 1-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
03.02.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie CZYR
03.08.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 1-0 HT 0-0 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
2-2
AWAY JS Kabylie
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs JS Kabylie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger and JS Kabylie couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was USM Alger at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Alger had 55% of the ball to JS Kabylie's 45%, shots finished 11-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for USM Alger and 0.50 for JS Kabylie.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs JS Kabylie?

USM Alger 2-2 JS Kabylie in the Algeria - 1st Division on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs JS Kabylie?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 47%, draw 23%, JS Kabylie 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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