Cheonan City 1-1 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-1 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
30.07.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 2-1 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
19.04.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheonan City and Ansan Greeners shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ansan Greeners led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cheonan City and 1.33 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Ansan Greeners?

Cheonan City 1-1 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheonan City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 38%, draw 30%, Ansan Greeners 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cheonan City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cheonan City) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
6 May 2024
10:30 Seoul E-Land vs Cheongju FC Analysis →