El Geish 0-2 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.5
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
0.99/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.18
+11% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
15.0 Crosses 17.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Masry
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.88 xG 0.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
237 Passes 356
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
06.03.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
11.12.2022 El Geish El Geish 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
04.08.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
09.03.2022 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
26.08.2021 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
0-2
AWAY Al Masry
0.46 xG 0.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
360 Passes 325
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry got the better of El Geish 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Masry as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, El Geish had 51% of the ball to Al Masry's 49%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.46 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for El Geish and 0.50 for Al Masry.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Al Masry?

El Geish 0-2 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split El Geish 30%, draw 26%, Al Masry 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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