06/05/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Djerv vs Haugesund II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
17%
Draw
21%
40%
Away Win
40%
31%
Under 2.5
22%
69%
Over 2.5
78%
61%
BTTS Yes
74%
39%
BTTS No
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Djerv v Haugesund II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Djerv
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Haugesund II
EU Bookmakers 45%
-21% /
-21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-50% /
-50%
2.07/1.64
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.57/3.04
+2%
/
+10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-15%
/
-37%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
349 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
342 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
Djerv vs Haugesund II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Djerv
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Haugesund II
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
19.09.2022
Haugesund II
2-2
HT 1-1
Djerv
NOR4
2-2
HT 1-1
Djerv
NOR4
POST-MATCH
Djerv vs Haugesund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Djerv edged past Haugesund II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 17% / 40% — and on the day Djerv made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Djerv vs Haugesund II?
Djerv 2-1 Haugesund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Djerv vs Haugesund II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Djerv win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Djerv 43%, draw 17%, Haugesund II 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djerv), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Djerv)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
6 May 2024