Ullern 2-0 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
32%
4.19
Away
18%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.57
2-3 Goals
35%
2.26
4-5 Goals
30%
2.42
6+ Goals
16%
4.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.6pp
32%
Draw
20%
+12.1pp
18%
Away Win
23%
-5.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.3pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullern EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ullern
2-0
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ullern vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ullern saw off Sarpsborg 08 II 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ullern as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ullern had 49% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08 II's 51%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Ullern vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Ullern 2-0 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullern vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ullern win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ullern 50%, draw 32%, Sarpsborg 08 II 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ullern) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ullern) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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