Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-4 Chojniczanka Chojnice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 6 May 2024

Jastrzebie Zdroj
2-4 HT 1-2
Chojniczanka Chojnice
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Chojniczanka Chojnice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 30% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jastrzebie Zdroj v Chojniczanka Chojnice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.50/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.41
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Chojniczanka Chojnice Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-0 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
26.06.2020 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-3 HT 0-3 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL1
29.09.2019 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 3-1 HT 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
03.12.2018 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-1 HT 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1

Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-4 Chojniczanka Chojnice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
2-4
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chojniczanka Chojnice got the better of Jastrzebie Zdroj 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Jastrzebie Zdroj at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 47% of the ball to Chojniczanka Chojnice's 53%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chojniczanka Chojnice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 2.00 for Chojniczanka Chojnice.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-4 Chojniczanka Chojnice in the Poland - 2nd Division on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 42%, draw 30%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 29%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✗ Under 2.5
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