Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.92
2-3 Goals
35%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
5.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
17.8
X/1
19%
3.82
X/2
6%
14.3
X/X
8%
7.68
2/1
7%
19.45
2/2
10%
9.82
2/X
10%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.1pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.05/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.47
+26% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +49%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
22.6 Crosses 19.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Szczecin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.04 xG 0.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
343 Passes 273
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 0-2 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Szczecin
1-0
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.16 xG 0.82
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
425 Passes 149
82% Pass Accuracy 60%
34 Box Touches 26
39 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pogon Szczecin vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Szczecin edged past Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pogon Szczecin as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 68% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 32%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.16 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 56%, draw 22%, Puszcza Niepolomice 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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