52 Orduspor FK 1-1 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.35
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 36% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 52 Orduspor FK EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 52 Orduspor FK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.02.2024 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 1-4 HT 0-1 52 Orduspor FK 52 Orduspor FK S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 52 Orduspor FK
1-1
AWAY Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH 52 Orduspor FK vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

52 Orduspor FK and Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, 52 Orduspor FK had 55% of the ball to Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor's 45%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of 52 Orduspor FK vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor?

52 Orduspor FK 1-1 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 52 Orduspor FK vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a 52 Orduspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split 52 Orduspor FK 40%, draw 28%, Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (52 Orduspor FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (52 Orduspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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