Al Adalah 3-2 Al Bukayriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.8pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.9pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Adalah EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.51/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.66
-7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Adalah
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2023 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Adalah
3-2
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Adalah vs Al Bukayriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Adalah edged past Al Bukayriyah 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Adalah as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Al Adalah had 56% of the ball to Al Bukayriyah's 44%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Al Adalah vs Al Bukayriyah?

Al Adalah 3-2 Al Bukayriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Adalah vs Al Bukayriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Adalah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Adalah 53%, draw 18%, Al Bukayriyah 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Adalah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Adalah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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