Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 6 May 2024

Al Ahli Jeddah
1-2 HT 1-0
Al Hilal Riyadh
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.54
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
9%
6.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli Jeddah v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 54%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.57/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.07
+2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +76%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 85%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
17.6 Crosses 25.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.13 xG 1.92
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 Passes 462
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
18.03.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 4-2 HT 3-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
29.10.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
19.05.2021 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 5-1 HT 3-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
15.01.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
20.08.2020 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD

Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1-2
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.63 xG 1.72
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
307 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 35
7 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh squeezed past Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 47% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 53%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.63 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 2.33 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 30%, draw 23%, Al Hilal Riyadh 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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