Stenhousemuir 1-3 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 6 May 2025

Stenhousemuir
1-3 HT 0-2
Airdrieonians
📅06/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Stenhousemuir vs Airdrieonians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
56%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
28%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.05
1/2
8%
24.65
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
9%
7.74
X/2
21%
4.46
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.62
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
26%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
56%
Away Win
49%
+6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stenhousemuir v Airdrieonians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 53%
+9% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.53/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.78
+30% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
213 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Stenhousemuir vs Airdrieonians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Airdrieonians
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
The Meetings
07.04.2012 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-2 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
30.10.2010 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
28.08.2010 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-3 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
17.04.2004 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
21.02.2004 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 4-0 HT 4-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
27.12.2003 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians got the better of Stenhousemuir 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Airdrieonians as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Airdrieonians led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Stenhousemuir and 2.50 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Airdrieonians?

Stenhousemuir 1-3 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - 1st Division on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Airdrieonians win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 22%, draw 23%, Airdrieonians 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airdrieonians), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Airdrieonians) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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