Elgin City 2-4 Annan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 6 May 2025

Elgin City
2-4 HT 2-4
Annan Athletic
📅06/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Elgin City vs Annan Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.38
6+ Goals
8%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 32% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elgin City v Annan Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.30/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.43
-3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Elgin City vs Annan Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Annan Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
11.03.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 4-1 HT 2-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
14.01.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
19.11.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-3 HT 0-2 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
01.10.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 5-1 HT 2-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
16.07.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 4-0 HT 3-0 Elgin City Elgin City İKLK
12.03.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Annan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic beat Elgin City 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Elgin City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Annan Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Elgin City and 2.17 for Annan Athletic.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Annan Athletic?

Elgin City 2-4 Annan Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Annan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 43%, draw 27%, Annan Athletic 30%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elgin City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İK2 More Scotland - 2nd Division
6 May 2025
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