Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 Club Atletico Mitre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.96
Draw
44%
2.77
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
Over 2.5
20%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
26%
2.67
No
74%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
52%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
27%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
47%
-13.2pp
44%
Draw
32%
+11.6pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.6pp
26%
BTTS Yes
33%
-7.4pp
74%
BTTS No
67%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Mitre EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +21%
0.80/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.90
-34% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Club Atletico Mitre
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
19.10.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
02.06.2024 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 2-0 HT 1-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
02.05.2022 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Club Atletico Mitre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano nicked a narrow win over Club Atletico Mitre 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (80%), no to both teams scoring (74%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Mitre led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.67 for Club Atletico Mitre.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Club Atletico Mitre?

Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 Club Atletico Mitre in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Club Atletico Mitre?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 34%, draw 44%, Club Atletico Mitre 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
6 May 2025
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