Ilves II 1-3 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
56%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.17
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
9%
+11.5pp
23%
Draw
12%
+11.1pp
56%
Away Win
78%
-22.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.2pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves II EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves II
1-3
AWAY TPS Turku
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ilves II vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku got the better of Ilves II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ilves II had 48% of the ball to TPS Turku's 52%, shots finished 12-21.

What was the final score of Ilves II vs TPS Turku?

Ilves II 1-3 TPS Turku in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves II vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ilves II 21%, draw 23%, TPS Turku 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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