Cardiff City U21 1-4 Burnley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 6 May 2025

Cardiff City U21
1-4 HT 1-2
Burnley U21
📅06/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Professional Development League – 2024/2025

Cardiff City U21 vs Burnley U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cardiff City U21 v Burnley U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.92/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/1.57
-51% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs Burnley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 cruised past Cardiff City U21 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Burnley U21 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs Burnley U21?

Cardiff City U21 1-4 Burnley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs Burnley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 28%, draw 27%, Burnley U21 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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