Shabab Al Sahel 3-1 Shabab Baalbeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.97
Over 2.5
61%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-2.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
47%
-8.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
53%
+8.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Sahel EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Baalbeck EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.26/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
+20% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -78%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Sahel
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shabab Baalbeck
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.02.2025 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel 5-0 HT 3-0 Shabab Baalbeck LUBN
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Sahel vs Shabab Baalbeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Sahel saw off Shabab Baalbeck 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shabab Al Sahel as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Sahel vs Shabab Baalbeck?

Shabab Al Sahel 3-1 Shabab Baalbeck in the Lebanon - Premier League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Sahel vs Shabab Baalbeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Sahel 61%, draw 21%, Shabab Baalbeck 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Sahel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Sahel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
6 May 2025
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