Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 Arsenal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 6 May 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1-1 HT 1-0
Arsenal (K)
📅06/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
69%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
3%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+0.7pp
16%
Draw
18%
-1.6pp
69%
Away Win
68%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 72%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.49/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.53
+83% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.3
10.0 Crosses 24.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Arsenal (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
0.42 xG 2.20
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
261 Passes 536
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 40
7 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
12.10.2025 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
08.11.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
18.05.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 5-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
29.09.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
28.04.2019 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
25.11.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 4-1 HT 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1-1
AWAY Arsenal (K)
1.05 xG 1.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
319 Passes 387
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 34
4 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Arsenal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) and Arsenal (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Arsenal (K) at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) had 45% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 55%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 1.05 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) and 3.83 for Arsenal (K).

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 15%, draw 16%, Arsenal (K) 69%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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