Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Nasr Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli FC Dubai v Al Nasr — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Nasr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Ahli FC Dubai
BAE
2-0
HT 0-0
Al Nasr
BAE
3-2
HT 2-1
Al Ahli FC Dubai
BAE
3-3
HT 2-1
Al Nasr
BAE
2-2
HT 1-1
Al Ahli FC Dubai
BAE
3-0
HT 1-0
Al Nasr
BAE
Al Ahli FC Dubai squeezed past Al Nasr 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 1.33 for Al Nasr.
What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Nasr?
Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Nasr?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 63%, draw 19%, Al Nasr 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.