IFK Östersund 1-1 Bergnäsets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 6 Jun 2024

📅06/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.9pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Östersund EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.73/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.71
-10% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +142%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Östersund
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Bergnäsets
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
16.09.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 2-1 HT 0-0 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
20.05.2023 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 0-1 HT 0-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
09.04.2022 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 0-3 HT 0-3 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
06.11.2021 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 3-2 HT 2-0 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
28.08.2021 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 1-1 HT 1-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Östersund vs Bergnäsets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Östersund and Bergnäsets shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Östersund at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bergnäsets led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for IFK Östersund and 1.40 for Bergnäsets.

What was the final score of IFK Östersund vs Bergnäsets?

IFK Östersund 1-1 Bergnäsets in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Östersund vs Bergnäsets?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Östersund win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IFK Östersund 46%, draw 24%, Bergnäsets 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Östersund), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Östersund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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