UMF Tindastoll 2-1 Reynir Sandgerdi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 6 Jun 2024

📅06/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.18
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
4.0
Over 2.5
67%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
80%
-8.7pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.8pp
9%
Away Win
10%
-1.2pp
33%
Under 2.5
22%
+11.2pp
67%
Over 2.5
78%
-11.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Reynir Sandgerdi EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
488 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH UMF Tindastoll vs Reynir Sandgerdi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll edged past Reynir Sandgerdi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had UMF Tindastoll as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of UMF Tindastoll vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

UMF Tindastoll 2-1 Reynir Sandgerdi in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Tindastoll vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split UMF Tindastoll 71%, draw 20%, Reynir Sandgerdi 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UMF Tindastoll), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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