Meksika 0-4 Uruguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Jun 2024

Meksika
0-4 HT 0-3
Uruguay
📅06/06/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Meksika vs Uruguay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.9
No
63%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.54
6+ Goals
6%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 37% vs market 32.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.61
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
10%
13.8
X/1
12%
7.07
X/2
13%
4.53
X/X
8%
3.86
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.97
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.4pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Meksika v Uruguay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay EU Bookmakers 48%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.29/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.09
+10% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +104%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
14.4 Crosses 10.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Meksika vs Uruguay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Uruguay
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.31 xG 1.73
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
431 Passes 259
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.06.2022 Meksika Meksika 0-3 HT 0-1 Uruguay Uruguay HAZ
08.09.2018 Meksika Meksika 1-4 HT 1-3 Uruguay Uruguay HAZ
13.07.2011 Uruguay Uruguay 1-0 HT 1-0 Meksika Meksika AKU
22.06.2010 Meksika Meksika 0-1 HT 0-1 Uruguay Uruguay DK
15.07.2007 Uruguay Uruguay 1-3 HT 1-1 Meksika Meksika AKU
27.10.2005 Meksika Meksika 3-1 HT 1-1 Uruguay Uruguay HAZ

Meksika 0-4 Uruguay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika
0-4
AWAY Uruguay
0.24 xG 3.23
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
294 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Meksika vs Uruguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uruguay cruised past Meksika 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Uruguay as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Meksika had 55% of the ball to Uruguay's 45%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.24 to 3.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uruguay led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Meksika and 1.83 for Uruguay.

What was the final score of Meksika vs Uruguay?

Meksika 0-4 Uruguay in the Friendlies on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika vs Uruguay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uruguay win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Meksika 28%, draw 26%, Uruguay 46%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uruguay), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uruguay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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