Minneapolis City 1-0 Thunder Bay Chill — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 6 Jun 2024

📅06/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minneapolis City EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Thunder Bay Chill EU Bookmakers 69%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.25/2.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.07/0.73
+0% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +75%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
220 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minneapolis City
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Thunder Bay Chill
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2023 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill 2-2 HT 1-0 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City USL2
29.06.2023 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-3 HT 0-2 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill USL2
07.07.2022 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-2 HT 0-1 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill USL2
POST-MATCH Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minneapolis City edged past Thunder Bay Chill 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Thunder Bay Chill at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Thunder Bay Chill led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Minneapolis City and 2.33 for Thunder Bay Chill.

What was the final score of Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill?

Minneapolis City 1-0 Thunder Bay Chill in the USA - USL League 2 on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thunder Bay Chill win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Minneapolis City 23%, draw 22%, Thunder Bay Chill 55%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Thunder Bay Chill) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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