San Antonio 0-1 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Jun 2024

📅06/06/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 28% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.54/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.65
-1% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.8 Crosses 12.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
4W-2D-0L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 0.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
139 Passes 308
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-2 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
11.06.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 2-2 HT 1-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
24.07.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-1 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
17.04.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 1-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
07.10.2021 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 3-3 HT 0-2 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
29.08.2021 San Antonio San Antonio 2-1 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
0-1
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
0.68 xG 0.57
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
173 Passes 307
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive edged past San Antonio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Antonio at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, San Antonio had 39% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 61%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.68 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for San Antonio and 1.17 for El Paso Locomotive.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive?

San Antonio 0-1 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 48%, draw 28%, El Paso Locomotive 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Antonio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Antonio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →