JEF United vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
JEF United v Avispa Fukuoka — Team-Based Signals
JEF United vs Avispa Fukuoka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
JEF United
JAP2
2-2
HT 1-1
Avispa Fukuoka
JAP2
1-0
HT 1-0
JEF United
JAP2
2-2
HT 2-1
Avispa Fukuoka
JAP2
3-0
HT 0-0
Avispa Fukuoka
JAP2
1-0
HT 1-0
JEF United
JAP2
JEF United 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka — Actual Match Statistics
Avispa Fukuoka edged past JEF United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Avispa Fukuoka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, JEF United had 58% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 42%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.28 to 0.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured JEF United.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for JEF United and 1.17 for Avispa Fukuoka.
What was the final score of JEF United vs Avispa Fukuoka?
JEF United 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japonya - J1 100 Year Vision Lig on 06/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for JEF United vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Before kick-off our model rated an Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split JEF United 32%, draw 34%, Avispa Fukuoka 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.