Lake Macquarie 2-4 Maitland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Yeni South Wales, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
58%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+10.5pp
21%
Draw
13%
+7.8pp
58%
Away Win
77%
-18.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lake Macquarie EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Maitland EU Bookmakers 81%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.76/3.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.00
-40% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -3%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 515 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lake Macquarie
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Maitland
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Maitland Maitland 2-0 HT 2-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNSW
09.07.2023 Maitland Maitland 9-0 HT 5-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNSW
07.08.2022 Maitland Maitland 4-0 HT 3-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
08.06.2022 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 1-4 HT 0-4 Maitland Maitland AVNSW
18.06.2021 Maitland Maitland 1-0 HT 0-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
03.04.2021 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 2-3 HT 1-0 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
POST-MATCH Lake Macquarie vs Maitland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maitland beat Lake Macquarie 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maitland as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maitland led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lake Macquarie and 3.83 for Maitland.

What was the final score of Lake Macquarie vs Maitland?

Lake Macquarie 2-4 Maitland in the Australia - Yeni South Wales on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lake Macquarie vs Maitland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maitland win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lake Macquarie 21%, draw 21%, Maitland 58%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maitland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maitland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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