Ethiopian Insurance 0-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 54%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.68
+6% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
0-2
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
56% Ball Possession 44%
3 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank got the better of Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ethiopia Nigd Bank as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 56% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 44%, shots finished 3-9.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Ethiopian Insurance 0-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 24%, draw 28%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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