Masr 0-1 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.46
Draw
38%
3.18
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.75
Over 2.5
34%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
42%
3.01
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.88
6+ Goals
5%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 42% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
22%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
37%
-8.8pp
38%
Draw
28%
+9.3pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
53%
+12.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
47%
-12.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.5pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
0.79/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.00
-29% / +142% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.3 Crosses 19.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
0W-1D-0L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.28 xG 1.28
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 12
209 Passes 439
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.02.2024 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 0-1 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
0-1
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
0.85 xG 1.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
312 Passes 247
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Masr vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt nicked a narrow win over Masr 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 38% / 34%) promised a tight game; National Bank of Egypt found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Masr had 56% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 44%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.85 to 1.30.

What was the final score of Masr vs National Bank of Egypt?

Masr 0-1 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Masr 28%, draw 38%, National Bank of Egypt 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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