Bumprom 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bumprom EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.66/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.55
-49% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +133%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bumprom
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 10
16.08.2023 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 5-0 HT 2-0 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
06.06.2020 Bumprom Bumprom 0-6 HT 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bumprom
1-1
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bumprom vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bumprom and Dnepr Mogilev shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dnepr Mogilev at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bumprom had 39% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 61%, shots finished 8-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dnepr Mogilev led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Bumprom and 5.50 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Bumprom vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Bumprom 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bumprom vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Mogilev win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bumprom 26%, draw 27%, Dnepr Mogilev 47%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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