VfB Oldenburg 1-2 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
21%
7.78
Away
61%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+12.4pp
21%
Draw
9%
+11.6pp
61%
Away Win
85%
-23.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.5pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 91%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +123% / -44%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
239 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 547 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VfB Oldenburg
1-2
AWAY Hamburg
35% Ball Possession 65%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg nicked a narrow win over VfB Oldenburg 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, VfB Oldenburg had 35% of the ball to Hamburg's 65%, shots finished 17-15.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburg?

VfB Oldenburg 1-2 Hamburg in the Friendlies on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 18%, draw 21%, Hamburg 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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