Okzhetpes 4-2 Kaisar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Okzhetpes win — 41%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaisar EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +28%
2.43/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.01
+81% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Okzhetpes
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kaisar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
29.03.2025 Kaisar Kaisar 2-2 HT 2-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
01.07.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 0-1 HT 0-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
25.06.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
02.10.2020 Kaisar Kaisar 0-0 HT 0-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
15.03.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-1 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
10.11.2019 Kaisar Kaisar 1-1 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
POST-MATCH Okzhetpes vs Kaisar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Okzhetpes saw off Kaisar 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Okzhetpes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaisar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Okzhetpes and 0.83 for Kaisar.

What was the final score of Okzhetpes vs Kaisar?

Okzhetpes 4-2 Kaisar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Okzhetpes vs Kaisar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Okzhetpes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Okzhetpes 41%, draw 31%, Kaisar 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Okzhetpes), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Okzhetpes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
6 Jul 2025
17:00 Zhetysu vs FC Astana Analysis →