Cusco FC 3-1 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.8pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.8pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.38/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.44
+4% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
15.4 Crosses 15.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.24 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 236
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
03.10.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 2-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
27.05.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
22.09.2021 Sport Boys Sport Boys 3-2 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
13.04.2021 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
02.11.2020 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
3-1
AWAY Sport Boys
1.56 xG 0.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
361 Passes 291
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC saw off Sport Boys 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cusco FC had 54% of the ball to Sport Boys's 46%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.56 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Boys led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cusco FC and 2.17 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Sport Boys?

Cusco FC 3-1 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 51%, draw 31%, Sport Boys 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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