NEC 1-1 Vipers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UGS8, 6 Aug 2024

NEC
1-1 HT 0-1
Vipers
📅06/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Vipers EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Vipers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.08.2024 Vipers Vipers 0-0 HT 0-0 NEC NEC UGS8
11.05.2024 NEC NEC 0-0 HT 0-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
POST-MATCH NEC vs Vipers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC and Vipers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vipers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for NEC and 0.00 for Vipers.

What was the final score of NEC vs Vipers?

NEC 1-1 Vipers in the UGS8 on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC vs Vipers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split NEC 27%, draw 28%, Vipers 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vipers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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