Quilmes 2-1 Atletico Atlanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.7pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.02
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2025 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 2-0 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
07.10.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-1 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
28.05.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 1-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
29.05.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
09.10.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
16.06.2021 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Atletico Atlanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes squeezed past Atletico Atlanta 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Quilmes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Atlanta led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Quilmes and 1.33 for Atletico Atlanta.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Atletico Atlanta?

Quilmes 2-1 Atletico Atlanta in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Atletico Atlanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 41%, draw 28%, Atletico Atlanta 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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