Guayaquil City 3-1 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.74
Over
48%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guayaquil City The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa The Market 48%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.19
+149% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guayaquil City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.50 xG 1.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
366 Passes 309
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 3-0 HT 3-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
19.03.2023 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 4-1 HT 2-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
20.09.2022 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 4-1 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
30.04.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-0 HT 0-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
21.11.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 0-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
30.05.2021 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
REVIEW Guayaquil City vs Mushuc Runa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Guayaquil City saw off Mushuc Runa 3-1.

We leaned Mushuc Runa at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Guayaquil City against 1.33 for Mushuc Runa.

Guayaquil City vs Mushuc Runa Result & Final Score

Guayaquil City 3-1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Cup on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Guayaquil City vs Mushuc Runa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guayaquil City 34%, draw 23%, Mushuc Runa 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mushuc Runa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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