06/08/2025
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
Csepel TC vs ESMTK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
22%
Draw
23%
56%
Away Win
55%
47%
Under 2.5
45%
53%
Over 2.5
55%
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
48%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Csepel TC v ESMTK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Csepel TC
EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY
ESMTK
EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+22% /
+22%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
7
324 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
369 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Csepel TC vs ESMTK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Csepel TC beat ESMTK 2-0.
This one beat our numbers. ESMTK carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Csepel TC vs ESMTK?
Csepel TC 2-0 ESMTK in the Hungary - NB III on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Csepel TC vs ESMTK?
Before kick-off our model rated an ESMTK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Csepel TC 23%, draw 22%, ESMTK 56%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (ESMTK)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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MAC3
More Hungary - NB III
6 Aug 2025