Gelnica 0-1 MFK Vranov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - Cup, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
16.01
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
69%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.32
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
32%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
45%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
3%
+8.4pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.7pp
69%
Away Win
84%
-15.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gelnica EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY MFK Vranov EU Bookmakers 90%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.48/1.00
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -33%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
226 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gelnica
0-1
AWAY MFK Vranov
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gelnica vs MFK Vranov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MFK Vranov nicked a narrow win over Gelnica 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MFK Vranov as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gelnica had 36% of the ball to MFK Vranov's 64%, shots finished 10-21.

What was the final score of Gelnica vs MFK Vranov?

Gelnica 0-1 MFK Vranov in the Slovakia - Cup on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gelnica vs MFK Vranov?

Before kick-off our model rated an MFK Vranov win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Gelnica 12%, draw 19%, MFK Vranov 69%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MFK Vranov), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MFK Vranov) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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