Rijeka 1-0 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 6 Aug 2026

📅06/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.28
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 27% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
74%
-2.3pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.3pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.13/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/4.12
-8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -46%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
Crosses 6.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
1-0
AWAY Ilves Tampere
21 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Rijeka vs Ilves Tampere
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Rijeka edged past Ilves Tampere 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 6 Aug 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 21-4.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Ilves Tampere?

Rijeka 1-0 Ilves Tampere in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 72%, draw 17%, Ilves Tampere 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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