Zalgiris Vilnius 2-5 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 6 Aug 2026

📅06/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 50%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.48/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.23
+27% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -51%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2-5
AWAY Hajduk Split
10 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split ran out comfortable winners over Zalgiris Vilnius 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 10-21.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hajduk Split?

Zalgiris Vilnius 2-5 Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 33%, draw 24%, Hajduk Split 44%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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