Salzburg 1-0 Pafos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 6 Aug 2026

📅06/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Pafos EU Bookmakers 19%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
2.30/0.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.33
+11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.6 Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
1-0
AWAY Pafos
1.35 xG 0.33
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 0
387 Passes 255
36 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Pafos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg edged past Pafos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.35 to 0.33.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Pafos?

Salzburg 1-0 Pafos in the UEFA Europa League on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Pafos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 58%, draw 22%, Pafos 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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