Toluca 3-0 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 6 Aug 2026

Toluca
3-0 HT 1-0
Seattle Sounders
📅06/08/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Concacaf League Cup – 2026

Toluca vs Seattle Sounders Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.17
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.4
2-3 Goals
43%
2.24
4-5 Goals
25%
2.32
6+ Goals
12%
4.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-9.0pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.5pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toluca v Seattle Sounders — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toluca EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 14%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Toluca 3-0 Seattle Sounders — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toluca
3-0
AWAY Seattle Sounders
3.40 xG 0.47
40 Total Shots 4
19 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
551 Passes 229
60 Box Touches 3
22 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH Toluca vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toluca cruised past Seattle Sounders 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 40-4, expected goals 3.40 to 0.47.

What was the final score of Toluca vs Seattle Sounders?

Toluca 3-0 Seattle Sounders in the Concacaf League Cup on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toluca vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Toluca 65%, draw 19%, Seattle Sounders 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Toluca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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