Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Metropolitan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 6 Aug 2026

📅06/08/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitan EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Metropolitan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
21.07.2024 Metropolitan 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VENK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1-2
AWAY Metropolitan
1.46 xG 1.77
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 4
425 Passes 229
16 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitan squeezed past Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Guaira at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.46 to 1.77.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitan?

Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Metropolitan in the Venezuela - Premier League on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 41%, draw 27%, Metropolitan 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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