Fas vs Gabon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fas v Gabon — Team-Based Signals
Fas vs Gabon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fas 4-1 Gabon — Actual Match Statistics
Fas swept aside Gabon 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 64% to 36% in Fas's favour, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 3.26 to 3.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gabon led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Fas against 1.50 for Gabon.
Fas vs Gabon Result & Final Score
Fas 4 - 1 Gabon in the Africa Cup of Nations on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fas vs Gabon Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Fas 81%, draw 13%, Gabon 6%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.