Nykobing 0-2 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
51%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 23% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
23%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.3pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 58%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.00/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.83/2.72
-100% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -58%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fremad Amager
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
375 Passes 312
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 1-1 HT 0-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager HAZ
17.11.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-4 HT 0-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
01.10.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 2-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
21.04.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 2-1 HT 2-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
22.10.2022 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN1
10.09.2022 Nykobing Nykobing 0-3 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
0-2
AWAY Fremad Amager
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager got the better of Nykobing 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fremad Amager as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nykobing had 42% of the ball to Fremad Amager's 58%, shots finished 4-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nykobing had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nykobing and 1.33 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Fremad Amager?

Nykobing 0-2 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 19%, draw 30%, Fremad Amager 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremad Amager) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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