Sundby 1-0 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.4pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sundby EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.52
+32% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sundby
1-0
AWAY Holbaek
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sundby vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sundby edged past Holbaek 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Sundby made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Sundby had 40% of the ball to Holbaek's 60%, shots finished 6-15.

What was the final score of Sundby vs Holbaek?

Sundby 1-0 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sundby vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sundby 36%, draw 27%, Holbaek 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Holbaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holbaek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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