De Graafschap 2-0 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.49
2-3 Goals
38%
2.01
4-5 Goals
22%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.49 — our 27% vs market 13.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
15%
4.09
X/2
13%
10.75
X/X
9%
6.72
2/1
11%
19.5
2/2
12%
7.24
2/X
7%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.0pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.86/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.46
-4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
26.5 Crosses 14.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME De Graafschap
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 Passes 259
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-1 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
27.10.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
24.02.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-4 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
11.12.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
13.05.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-1 HT 3-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
09.05.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME De Graafschap
2-0
AWAY FC Eindhoven
2.09 xG 0.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
391 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ De Graafschap vs FC Eindhoven
Match summary & frequently asked questions

De Graafschap beat FC Eindhoven 2-0 in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 6 Sep 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, De Graafschap had 53% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 47%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.09 to 0.36.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for De Graafschap and 1.17 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of De Graafschap vs FC Eindhoven?

De Graafschap 2-0 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 47%, draw 23%, FC Eindhoven 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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