Carlisle United 3-0 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 6 Sep 2025

Carlisle United
3-0 HT 2-0
Truro City
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Carlisle United vs Truro City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.15
Over
54%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.84
No
50%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
25%
3.84
2-3
40%
1.79
4-5
25%
2.88
6+
10%
8.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.84 — our 25% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.7
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
17.15
X/1
22%
3.84
X/2
5%
13.4
X/X
9%
6.46
2/1
13%
21.15
2/2
8%
11.2
2/X
5%
19.65
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Carlisle United v Truro City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlisle United The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City The Market 18%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
3.00 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.50
1.33 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.00
Great Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
283 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Carlisle United 3-0 Truro City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlisle United
3-0
AWAY Truro City
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Carlisle United vs Truro City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Carlisle United overpowered Truro City 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Carlisle United as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 50%.

Under the surface, possession split 58% to 42% in Carlisle United's favour, shots finished 13-6.

Carlisle United vs Truro City Result & Final Score

Carlisle United 3-0 Truro City in the England - National League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Carlisle United vs Truro City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 64%, draw 19%, Truro City 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carlisle United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carlisle United) ✓ Over 2.5
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