Arsenal (K) 4-1 London City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 6 Sep 2025

Arsenal (K)
4-1 HT 2-1
London City (K)
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Arsenal (K) vs London City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.29
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
73%
-0.8pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.9pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal (K) v London City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY London City (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+65% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
415 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
48.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.6 Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards –

Arsenal (K) 4-1 London City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
4-1
AWAY London City (K)
2.96 xG 0.93
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
438 Passes 280
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
66 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs London City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) swept aside London City (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 60% of the ball to London City (K)'s 40%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.96 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs London City (K)?

Arsenal (K) 4-1 London City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs London City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 72%, draw 18%, London City (K) 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →