Filipinler U23 1-0 Tacikistan U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 6 Sep 2025

Filipinler U23
1-0
Tacikistan U23
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
AFC U23 Championship – 2026

Filipinler U23 vs Tacikistan U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
61%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.06
No
44%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.3pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.4pp
61%
Away Win
68%
-6.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
44%
+11.9pp
44%
BTTS No
56%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Filipinler U23 v Tacikistan U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Filipinler U23 EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacikistan U23 EU Bookmakers 72%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Filipinler U23 1-0 Tacikistan U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Filipinler U23
1-0
AWAY Tacikistan U23
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Filipinler U23 vs Tacikistan U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Filipinler U23 edged past Tacikistan U23 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Tacikistan U23 carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Filipinler U23 had 36% of the ball to Tacikistan U23's 64%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Filipinler U23 vs Tacikistan U23?

Filipinler U23 1-0 Tacikistan U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Filipinler U23 vs Tacikistan U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tacikistan U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Filipinler U23 21%, draw 18%, Tacikistan U23 61%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tacikistan U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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